TA: Bitcoin Sets New Monthly Low, What Could Trigger A Comeback

Bitcoin price extended its decline below the $40,000 level against the US Dollar. BTC is now recovering and it could climb higher if it clears the $42,500 resistance.

Bitcoin settled below the $44,000 and $43,000 support levels.

The price is still trading below $43,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $42,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

The pair could start a decent increase if it settles above $42,500 and $43,000.

Bitcoin price failed to recover above the $43,500 and $43,650 resistance levels. As a result, there was a fresh decline in BTC below the $42,000 support zone.

The price extended its decline below the $40,200 and $40,000 support levels. A was formed near $39,579 before the price started an upside correction. It is back above the $40,000 and $41,000 levels. However, the price is still trading below $43,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Bitcoin surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,624 swing high to $39,579 low. It is now consolidating below the $42,500 resistance.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $42,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $43,624 swing high to $39,579 low.

To start a strong recovery, the price must clear the $42,500 resistance. The next major resistance is near the $43,000 zone, above which the price could rise towards the $45,000 resistance.

If bitcoin fails to clear the $43,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $41,600 level.

The next major support is near the $41,000 zone. A downside break below the $41,000 zone could trigger a fresh decline towards the $40,000 level or even $39,500. Any more losses may possibly lead the price towards the $38,500 level in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is just below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $41,000, followed by $40,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $42,500, $43,000 and $45,000.