TA: Bitcoin Remains At Risk, Why BTC Could Nosedive Below $38K

Bitcoin price struggled to recover above $40,000 and extended its decline against the US Dollar. BTC could dive below $38,500 if it continues to stay below $40,000.

Bitcoin extended its decline below the $40,000 and $39,200 support levels.

The price is now trading well below $40,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $39,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

The pair must break $39,250 and $40,000 to start a fresh increase in the near term.

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline from well above $42,000 level. BTC broke the key $40,500 support level to move into a short-term bearish zone.

The price even settled below the $40,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It even broke the $39,200 support zone and traded as low as $38,711. The price is now consolidating gains above the $38,700 level.

An initial resistance is near the $39,250 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $39,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $39,600 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $42,630 swing high to $38,711 low.

The main resistance is now forming near the $40,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $42,630 swing high to $38,711 low.

If there is an upside break above the trend line and then $40,000, bitcoin could rise towards $40,500. The next major resistance on the upside is near the $41,200 zone.

If bitcoin fails to climb above the $39,250 and $40,500 resistance levels, it could continue to move down. An initial support on the downside is near the $38,700 level.

The first major support is now near the $38,500 zone. A clear downside break below the $38,500 support might encourage the bears for more losses. The next major support is near the $37,000 zone.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $38,500, followed by $37,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $39,250, $40,000 and $40,500.