By Oliver Dale 5 April 2025 | 4:17 am

Palantir (PLTR) Stock Price & Analysis: Can The Data Giant Weather The Tariff Storm?

TLDR

  • Palantir stock fell 10.6% on Friday amid broader market selloff
  • Trump announced sweeping new tariffs, including 34% on Chinese imports
  • China responded with 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, escalating trade tensions
  • Despite being software-based with limited direct tariff exposure, PLTR is affected by recession fears
  • Palantir’s P/E ratio remains above 400, making it vulnerable to market uncertainty

Palantir Technologies saw its stock plummet on Friday as global markets reacted to an escalating trade war. The data analytics company’s shares dropped by 10.6% as of Friday afternoon, with the stock falling as much as 14% earlier in the day.

The sharp decline came as both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell more than 5%.

The immediate catalyst for the market-wide selloff was President Donald Trump’s Wednesday announcement of extensive new tariffs. These include a 34% tax on Chinese imports, 20% on European Union goods, and a baseline 10% tax on all countries.

Markets initially reacted with concern on Thursday, though Palantir managed to avoid the worst of the damage that day.

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)

Trade War Escalation

Unlike many tech companies, particularly chip manufacturers, Palantir’s business model is somewhat insulated from direct tariff impacts. The company provides AI software solutions rather than physical products, meaning it doesn’t have an exposed supply chain of goods crossing borders.

However, Friday brought a new dimension to the trade tensions. China responded to Trump’s announcement with its own 34% tariffs on U.S. goods.

This tit-for-tat escalation has heightened fears of a potential recession. Even without direct exposure to tariffs, Palantir could face headwinds if economic conditions deteriorate.

During economic downturns, companies often tighten their budgets. This could lead to reduced spending on software services like those Palantir provides.

Valuation Concerns

The timing of this market turbulence is particularly challenging for Palantir given its current valuation metrics.

Even after experiencing a 40% decline over the past few months, Palantir shares still trade at a premium. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio remains above 400.

This extremely high P/E ratio suggests investors have been pricing in perfect execution and continued rapid growth.

The current market uncertainty appears to be prompting investors to reassess this optimistic outlook. Many are now questioning whether Palantir can maintain its growth trajectory in a more challenging economic environment.

Analyst Perspectives

Despite the current downturn, Wall Street analysts maintain mixed views on Palantir’s prospects.

According to data from 19 analysts, the average one-year price target for Palantir stands at $90.05. These projections range from a low of $40.00 to a high of $125.00.

The current average target suggests a potential upside of 20.34% from Friday’s trading price of $74.83.

However, the consensus recommendation from 23 brokerage firms rates Palantir at 2.9 on a 5-point scale, indicating a “Hold” status. This neutral stance reflects the mixed sentiment surrounding the company’s future.

Palantir closed Friday’s session at $74.48, marking a loss of $9.12 for the day. The stock had opened at $80.07 and briefly reached $80.79 before succumbing to selling pressure.

The company now has a market capitalization of approximately $17.47 billion. This represents a substantial decline from recent highs, though the stock remains well above its 52-week low of $20.33.

For context, Palantir’s 52-week high stands at $125.41, indicating how far the stock has fallen from its peak.

Friday’s trading volume was notably higher than average, suggesting a high level of investor activity and concern.

The sharp drop serves as a reminder of how quickly market sentiment can shift, particularly for growth-oriented technology stocks with premium valuations.

While Palantir continues to expand its customer base beyond its traditional government contracts, the current market environment may present challenges to this growth strategy.

China’s retaliatory tariffs have particularly unnerved investors, as they suggest the trade dispute could persist longer than initially anticipated.

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